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- The Finance Gem đź’Ž #122: How Your Budgets and EBITDA Are Quietly Undermining Your Strategy
The Finance Gem đź’Ž #122: How Your Budgets and EBITDA Are Quietly Undermining Your Strategy
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Hi there,
Most CEOs and CFOs believe they’ve got finance figured out. In reality, most organizations are still operating inside a 12-month operating cycle—while calling it strategy.
Budgets, EBITDA, and monthly reports keep the business running. They do not tell you if you’re ready for the next opportunity not whether you’re building enterprise value.
That gap is exactly why I created the Strategic Finance Cheat Sheet—and why I want to walk you through how to actually use it in today’s issue.
Here’s what we’re covering in this issue:
What strategic finance actually unlocks—and why you need it
Why companies plateau even with strong accounting and FP&A teams
The upcoming Budgeting Masterclass you won’t want to miss
Early Bird and 1-1 Strategy Call Bonus for the first 2026 cohort of the CEO Program
What strategic finance actually is—and why you need it
Strategic finance is not an upgraded reporting function. It is not better dashboards, faster closes, or more detailed forecasts.
Strategic finance is the discipline of deciding today using tomorrow’s constraints.
To practice it, leadership must start with a longer time horizon and work backward.
Instead of asking, “What can we afford this year?” strategic finance asks, “What must be true financially for our strategy to succeed three years from now?” That answer then dictates how much capital is required, when cash must be available, how much risk the balance sheet can absorb, and what trade-offs are non-negotiable.
This is the critical shift: operating finance manages performance inside known limits. Strategic finance defines the limits before they become binding.
A finance function becomes strategic when it can anticipate how today’s decisions affect future capacity and flexibility.
For example, hiring ahead of revenue growth may improve execution this year but weaken cash coverage next year. Aggressive revenue growth may look strong on the P&L but quietly extend the cash conversion cycle and increase dependency on external capital.
Strategic finance surfaces these consequences early so leadership can choose intentionally rather than react later.
If your finance team cannot show you whether the business will be capital-ready 12 to 18 months from now, whether growth can fund itself, or whether today’s decisions increase or reduce enterprise value over a multi-year horizon, then your finance may be operating—but it definitely isn’y strategic.
Why companies plateau even with strong accounting and FP&A teams
Most companies that plateau are not poorly managed. They often have disciplined budgets, strong accounting teams, capable FP&A functions, and leadership teams that “hit the numbers.”
That’s exactly the problem.
Budgets and EBITDA create the appearance of control while quietly narrowing strategic freedom.
Budgets anchor decision-making to last year’s assumptions. They reward adherence over adaptation. Once approved, they become a contract rather than a hypothesis. Teams optimize to stay within budget instead of reallocating capital toward what actually creates value as conditions change. Over time, capital flows to what was planned—not to what is most strategic.
EBITDA reinforces this distortion. It compresses complexity into a single performance signal that ignores timing, ignores capital intensity, and ignores balance sheet stress. A business can improve EBITDA every quarter while extending its cash conversion cycle, increasing leverage risk, and consuming future optionality.
This is how strategy gets undermined quietly. When leadership relies on budgets and EBITDA as primary decision anchors, the organization starts managing optics instead of constraints.
Growth initiatives are approved because they fit the budget, not because the business can fund them sustainably. Capital investments are justified on margin impact, not cash flow. Risk accumulates on the balance sheet while the P&L continues to look “strong.”
Strategic finance introduces a fundamentally different question—one that budgets and EBITDA are not designed to answer. It asks what must be true for the strategy to succeed, and whether those financial conditions are actually being engineered inside the business.
Strategic finance replaces performance tracking with condition-setting. It forces leadership to define the financial conditions required for strategy to work—and then test whether the business is actually building them. Budgets and EBITDA report outcomes. Strategic finance determines viability.
That means understanding how growth will be funded, when cash must be available, how much balance-sheet capacity the business can absorb, and how capital allocation decisions today affect flexibility two or three years out.
Budgets track spending against plan. EBITDA summarizes performance after the fact. Neither explains whether the strategy is financeable, resilient, or value-creating over time.
This is where leadership teams get misled. A strategy can look viable within a budget and accretive on EBITDA, while quietly increasing dependency on external capital, stretching working capital, or eroding control. Strategic finance makes those trade-offs visible before commitments are made, so decisions are shaped by constraints—not surprised by them.
How to use the Strategic Finance Cheat Sheet
The cheat sheet is meant to be used as a diagnostic, not read once and forgotten.
Start with the first section: what strategic finance should deliver. Use it to audit your current system. Ask whether you can clearly see future capital needs, funding options, and value creation paths beyond the budget year. If your visibility stops at next quarter or next year, you’re managing performance—not strategy.
Next, apply the cash conversion cycle section to your growth plan. Do not treat DSO, DIO, and DPO as isolated operational metrics. Look at how changes in volume, pricing, customer mix, or supply chain strategy affect the length of time cash is trapped in the business. Then quantify the capital required to support that cycle. This is how you determine whether growth creates leverage or strain.
Then move to the three drivers of operating cash flow. Run them together, not separately. Ask whether projected revenue growth actually converts into cash, whether margin assumptions hold at scale, and whether working capital expands faster than profits. This exercise often reveals that EBITDA improvements are being offset by cash absorption elsewhere—something reporting alone rarely makes obvious.
Finally, use the cheat sheet’s simple CEO readiness checklist to help you drive accountability. Can you see capital needs at least a year ahead? Do forecasts extend beyond the budget cycle? Are major decisions explicitly tied to enterprise value? Do you know where cash is being created—or trapped—right now?
If the answer to any of these is no, the issue is not intelligence or effort. It’s that you don’t have strategic finance built in as a leadership system.
Upcoming Masterclass: How Your Budget Destroys Your Valuation
If you want to kick off 2026 the right way, budgeting is where that work begins.
Unfortunately, most budgets are still built as accountant-led exercises—backward-looking, compliance-driven, and optimized for cost control rather than capital allocation.
The result is not overspending, but misallocation: funding yesterday’s activities while starving the initiatives that could improve cash flow, ROIC, and long-term value.
That’s why I’m hosting a live executive masterclass on January 8. We’ll walk through how accountant-driven budgets quietly erode valuation by locking in the past, blinding leadership to liquidity and leverage risk, and undermining board trust—and how CEOs and CFOs can reclaim the budget as a forward-looking capital deployment blueprint instead.
This session is designed to help leadership teams enter 2026 with foresight, control, and credibility, rather than explaining missed numbers after the fact.
Reserve your seat here: https://streamyard.com/watch/hcxFhrdFYVgs
Early Bird and 1-1 Strategy Call Bonus for the first 2026 cohort of the CEO Program
The CEO Financial Intelligence Program exists for one reason: to turn strategic finance into a leadership capability.
Inside the program, CEOs and senior leaders don’t just learn concepts—they apply them directly to the decisions that determine outcomes.
We help you connect and understand your statements, analyze performance, align capital with strategy, pressure-test growth and investment plans before committing resources, surface constraints early, and learn to make capital allocation decisions with intent instead of urgency.
Early Bird enrollment is now open for the first 2026 cohort and will save you $500 for the next two weeks. Use code EARLYBIRD0126 at checkout.
Plus, for a limited time, Early Bird enrollment also includes a complimentary 1-on-1 Strategy Call, subject to availability. I will help you apply the Strategic Finance Cheat Sheet directly to your business so you enter the program with a clear focus, priorities, and execution plan.
Warm regards,
Oana
P.S. If the cheat sheet made it clear that your finance function explains the past well but struggles to support future-facing decisions, that’s not a failure. It’s the signal that your leadership system has outgrown your financial infrastructure—and it’s time to upgrade how finance supports your decisions. Spots are limited. Secure yours here. Use code EARLYBIRD0126




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