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- The Finance Gem 2023๐ Week #7
The Finance Gem 2023๐ Week #7
EBITDA and Financial Analysis
Welcome to this week's edition of The Finance Gem ๐ where I bring you my unabbreviated Linkedin insights you loved - so you can save them, and those you missed - so you can enjoy them.
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This week's strategic finance & accounting topics:
Without further ado, let's begin:
When you analyze an Income Statement, your key objectives should be to determine if the company is earning a profit, to identify trends over time, and to compare with industry benchmarks or competitors.
For a quick trend analysis, here are 5 steps I recommend you take:
1๏ธโฃ Analyze Revenue changes over time
(Sales) Revenue is the money earned by the business during a reporting period.
๐ฏ The more the Revenue changes throughout the year, the more frequently it should be monitored (weekly, monthly, quarterly and annual)
๐ฏ Use horizontal analysis to analyze Revenue trending over time.
Year over year change =( Current period/Previous period) - 1
๐ฏ Remember that Revenue is an accounting metric, so it's useful to review it together with Bookings and Backlog, non-GAAP metrics showing the volume of closed sales awaiting fulfilment (future revenues).
2๏ธโฃ Analyze Other Income changes
Other Income is not Sales Revenue but rather Income derived from activities unrelated to the main focus of the business.
๐ฏ Use horizontal analysis to analyze Other Income trending over time.
3๏ธโฃ Analyze Gross Profit Margin changes
This is the residual proportion of Revenue left in the business after direct costs (COGS or COS) have been deducted.
๐ฏ Gross Profit is the dollar value of the difference.
Revenue - COGS = Gross Profit ($)
๐ฏ Gross (Profit) Margin is the relative difference.
(Revenue - COGS) / Revenue = Gross Profit Margin (%)
๐ฏ Use horizontal analysis to analyze Gross Margin trending over time.
4๏ธโฃ Analyze Net Profit Margin changes
๐ฏ This is the residual proportion of Revenues left in the business after direct costs (COGS or COS) as well as Operating Expenses (OPEX) have been deducted.
๐ฏ Net Profit is the dollar value of the difference.
Revenue - COGS -OPEX = Net Profit ($)
๐ฏ Net (Profit) Margin is the relative difference.
(Revenue - COGS - OPEX) / Revenue = Net Profit Margin (%)
๐ฏ Use horizontal analysis to analyze Net Margin trending over time.
5๏ธโฃ Analyze Depreciation expense changes
๐ฏ This is the regular allocation of the capitalized cost of fixed assets (depreciation) into expenses over their useful lives.
๐ฏ Capital intensive businesses need to constantly maintain, upgrade and grow their asset base
๐ฏ At a minimum, the amount of maintenance capital investment should mirror depreciation expense.
๐ฏ Use horizontal analysis to analyze Depreciation expense trending over time.
1// Provisions and Reserves
๐ฏ Guarantees. Future tax obligations. Asset Retirement Obligations. Asset impairment.
๐ฏ These are potential future cash payment obligations, but while they shouldnโt reduce your current EBITDA, the future changes in their associated balance sheet accounts might.
2// Non-operating income
๐ฏ This is usually passive income which isnโt related to your companyโs core operations.
๐ฏ If your company isnโt actively in the business of generating that income, it shouldnโt be part of your EBITDA.
3// Unrealized gains or losses
๐ฏ These are increases or decreases in the value of an asset or a liability that you havenโt yet sold or settled.
๐ฏ Paper gains and losses donโt belong in EBITDA.
4// One-time revenue or expenses
๐ฏ These are the result of non-recurring transactions.
๐ฏ If they arenโt repeatable and the objective is to assess the economic value of recurring cash flows, they may not belong in EBITDA.
5// Foreign exchange gains or losses
๐ฏ These may be the result of foreign exchange transactions outside your companyโs core operations.
๐ฏ Alternatively, if your business is carried out in international markets, FX gains and losses definitely belong in your companyโs EBITDA.
6// Goodwill impairment
๐ฏ This is a decrease in the value of your reported goodwill following an acquisition.
๐ฏ While this indicates concerns regarding the original price paid in the acquisition, it is still a โpaper lossโ that doesnโt belong in EBITDA.
7// Asset write-downs
๐ฏ These are decreases in the value of an asset, usually following non-recurring events like sharp technological advancements that rendered your machine obsolete ahead of its time.
๐ฏ Because theyโre non-cash, they donโt belong in EBITDA.
8// Litigation or insurance expenses outside the regular course of business.
๐ฏ These are the result of non-recurring transactions such as one-time lawsuits, large financing deals or outlier commercial contracts.
๐ฏ If they arenโt repeatable, they probably donโt belong in EBITDA.
9// Excessive Owner compensation
๐ฏ In private companies, owners often pay themselves more than a comparable executive role would pay an employee.
๐ฏ A buyer will usually adjust the ownerโs salary to level up to the market and will impact EBITDA in the process.
10// Share-based compensation
๐ฏ In the words of Warren Buffet, โIf options arenโt a form of compensation, what are they? If compensation isnโt an expense, what is it? And if expenses should not go into the calculation of earnings, where in the world should they go?โ
11// Below Market Compensation
๐ฏ This is general labor compensation above or below the fair market value of what a similar company would expect to pay to manage that type of human capital.
๐ฏ If thereโs a material difference driven by non-arms length arrangements, you should adjust it to align with the market.
12// Personal Expenses
๐ฏ These are automobile expenses, insurance, legal and professional fees, home utilities, personal telephone, and payroll - all paid for the benefit of your non-arms length third parties
13// Travel and Entertainment Expenses
๐ฏ This includes your travel and entertainment expenses personal to the business owner and non-arms length third parties, and deemed unnecessary for a new owner to operate the business.
14// Pension Expenses
๐ฏ This includes your pension expense and other ancillary costs paid for the personal benefit of the business owner and other non-arms length third parties.
15// Professional Fees
๐ฏ This includes your professional legal, accounting and other advisory fees that another owner wouldnโt be expected to incur.
16// Aggressively expensed/capitalized items
๐ฏ This includes aggressive accounting decisions driven by your current management decisions, even if they are in compliance with applicable accounting principles.
17// Fair Market Rent
๐ฏ This includes below or above market rental costs due to your non-arms length agreements, which should be adjusted to reflect a fair market cost.
18// Tax Minimization Strategies
๐ฏ This includes accelerating expenses and/or deferring income as a result of you implementing basic year-end tax-planning techniques used to manage income taxes.
19// Severance Costs
๐ฏ This includes costs incurred as part of your one-time reorganization where staff was laid off.
20// Percentage Of Completion Revenues
๐ฏ This includes the revenues you recognized on long-term contractual engagements based on the percentage of costs incurred relative to the total estimated contractual costs.
๐ฏ Your high interim EBITDA on Percentage of Completion contracts is always at risk of reversing into losses resulting from underestimated project costs.
20 EBITDA Adjustments to Know - Oana Labes, MBA, CPA
โถ๏ธMargin shows how much of a product's sales revenue you got to keep.
โถ๏ธMarkup shows how much over cost you've sold it for.
๐ฏ Let's dig deeper into each of these:
1// Margin is the proportion of the selling price that exceeds Direct Cost (COGS).
โ Margin = Gross Profit / Revenue
โ Margin = Markup /(1+Markup)
Margin (or Gross Profit Margin) is calculated as a percentage. Meanwhile, Gross Profit is calculated as an amount.
2// Markup is the percentage by which the product cost is increased to arrive at the selling price.
โ Markup = Gross Profit / Product Cost
โ Markup = Margin / (1-Margin)
Markup can be calculated based on a product's variable cost or based on its total (absorption) cost.
Marking up the variable cost could result in under costing and underpricing the product, which in turn may increase revenues at the expense of reduced profitability and cash flows.
Marking up the absorption cost could result in over costing and overpricing, which in turn could reduce revenues also at the expense of reduced profitability and cash flows.
๐ฏ How to use Margin and Markup:
โ Both Margin and Markup calculate the difference between price and cost.
โ Margin relates that difference to the product Price.
โ Markup relates that difference to the product Cost.
โ If you know the Product Cost, use Markup to determine an appropriate selling Price.
โ If you know the Product Gross Profit, use it to determine the Gross Profit Margin and track profitability over time.
โ And because Price is (ideally) always larger than Cost, remember that Markup will always be the larger metric.
Margin vs. Markup - Oana Labes, MBA, CPA
Here are 10 Critical Things You Should Know:
1๏ธโฃ ๐๐ก๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ซ๐ 2 ๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ก๐๐๐.
โซ Non-Manufacturing Overhead
โซ Manufacturing Overhead
2๏ธโฃ ๐๐จ๐ง-๐๐๐ง๐ฎ๐๐๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ก๐๐๐ (๐๐) includes the indirect costs of running your business (rent, utilities, insurance, depreciation, administrative salaries, accounting and legal fees, office supplies, marketing, etc)
3๏ธโฃ ๐๐๐ง๐ฎ๐๐๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ก๐๐๐ (๐๐๐) includes the indirect costs of manufacturing your physical products (factory rent, factory utilities, factory depreciation, factory machinery maintenance, factory supplies)
4๏ธโฃ Each type of Overhead can be further segmented by the nature of the expenses incurred into Fixed Overhead and Variable Overhead.
Which is how you end up with 4 ๐ญ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ก๐๐๐:
โซ Fixed Manufacturing Overhead
โซ Variable Manufacturing Overhead
โซ Fixed Non-Manufacturing Overhead
โซ Variable Non-Manufacturing Overhead
5๏ธโฃ Manufacturing Overhead, both fixed and variable, is part of your Product Costs, together with Direct Labor and Direct Materials.
6๏ธโฃ Non-Manufacturing Overhead, both fixed and variable, is part of your Period Costs, together with your R&D expenses.
7๏ธโฃ The largest Fixed Manufacturing Overhead expense is typically Manufacturing Depreciation (and Amortization)
8๏ธโฃ The largest Fixed Non-Manufacturing Overhead expense is typically Payroll.
9๏ธโฃ As Manufacturing Overhead gets incurred, it is accrued as a product cost and built into the cost of your ending inventory during production.
๐ฏ Because it skips the income statement and lives on your balance sheet until that inventory is sold, it positively impacts your Income and your EBITDA.
๐ฏ Even once the product is sold and MOH becomes part of your Cost of Goods Sold, the depreciation component of Fixed MOH continues to positively impact EBITDA because it gets excluded from the calculation.
๐ As Non-Manufacturing Overhead gets incurred, it is simply expensed as a period cost.
๐ฏ Because it is reported immediately in your income statement, it reduces your Income and negatively impacts your EBITDA.
So here you have it: Overhead and its direct impact on your EBITDA and Net Income.
๐ฏ Manufacturing Overhead accrued in ending inventory balances increases your EBITDA and Net Income
๐ฏ Non-Manufacturing Overhead is expensed immediately and reduces your EBITDA and Net Income
Maintenance vs. Growth CAPEX
You should have 2 main objectives for your Capital Assets:
๐ฏMaintain the assets you own - to continue operating at the current capacity
๐ฏAcquire new assets - to expand your capacity and support your revenue growth
**1๏ธโฃ Maintenance capital expenditures (CAPEX) keep your company's existing operations running well.**
โซ Think of repairing an asset that broke down, replacing an asset that reached the end of its useful life, or upgrading an asset to meet the minimum required safety standards.
โซ This is capital spend you make to maintain the company's current level of production
โซ Itโs considered non-discretionary, meaning itโs unavoidable to enable you to continue operating in the current manner
โซ It gets expensed when incurred, so it reduces profitability for the period but will have no impact on cash flow or EBITDA.
โซ It should match or exceed your depreciation expense.
โ If it doesnโt, you are likely underinvesting in the maintenance of your long term assets.
โ This will likely reduce your ability to generate sufficient cash flow in the future, reducing both earnings and returns for the business.
2๏ธโฃ **Growth CAPEX is over and above maintaining your company's current level of production, to enable future growth and revenue**
โซ Think of expanding an assetโs production capacity, improving an assetโs energy consumption; building a new production facility, or acquiring a new ERP software
โซ This is the capital spend you make to expand the company's operations and includes items such as new equipment, facilities, and acquisitions.
โซ Itโs considered discretionary which means you donโt have to pay for these expenses but instead youโre choosing to
โซ It gets capitalized as a betterment of existing assets or as an entirely new asset, either of which will increase the balance of capital assets.
โซ It will increase your depreciation expense, lowering your profitability for the period but without impacting EBITDA
๐ฏHere are two critical questions to answer:
1๏ธโฃ How to determine Maintenance vs Growth CAPEX?
Use the Cash Flow Statement:
โซ Find the Depreciation Expense at the top of the Operating Cash Flow section
โซ Find the total amount spent on purchases of PPE in the Investing Cash Flow section
โซ Compare the two amounts: any excess of investment in CAPEX over depreciation expense can usually be assumed to be growth CAPEX.
2๏ธโฃ How to use Maintenance and Growth CAPEX to calculate Cash Flows?
It depends on your objectives:
โซ If you are calculating **historical Free Cash Flow,** use the total cash invested in Fixed Asset purchases from the Investing section of your cash flow statement.
โซ If you are estimating forward looking **maintainable Free Cash Flow**, use maintenance CAPEX net of its tax benefits (tax shield)
โซ If you are preparing **budgeted or forecasted Cash Flow**, use maintenance CAPEX + growth CAPEX to project the Fixed Asset purchases required to both sustain the current output and increase it to achieve revenue growth targets
Growth vs. Maintenance CAPEX - Oana Labes, MBA, CPA
If you want to understand how, start with your Income Statement or P&L.
1๏ธโฃ ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐๐ข๐ญ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐๐ฑ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ก๐๐๐ญ.
Unless you've distributed it all out to the shareholders, in which case there's nothing left to flow.
2๏ธโฃ ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐๐ข๐ญ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐๐ฑ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐ฅ๐ฌ๐จ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ก๐๐๐ญ.
But only after it gets adjusted for:
โซ non-cash expenses in the Income Statement (such as depreciation for fixed assets, amortization for intangible assets, gains or losses on sales of fixed assets, or stock based compensation)
โซ cash invested into current assets and current liabilities on the Balance Sheet
โซ cash invested into fixed assets on the Balance Sheet
cash received or paid out in financing transactions (equity or debt) on the Balance Sheet
3๏ธโฃ ๐๐ก๐๐ง ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐๐ฌ๐ก Flow ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ข๐๐๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ข๐ง ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ง ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐ข๐จ๐, ๐ข๐ญ'๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ค๐๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ ๐จ๐ ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ฌ๐ ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ:
โซ you've paid out cash to shareholders or lent cash out to others, often related companies
โซ you haven't yet collected everything you're owed by customers
โซ you've used cash to pay suppliers
โซ you've spent cash to buy fixed assets
โซ you've made principal payments on debt
5 EBITDA Ratios to Know - Oana Labes, MBA, CPA
Are you trying to evaluate a companyโs financial performance?
Donโt use EBITDA.
Hereโs why:
๐ฏ EBITDA is flawed and unfit for most of the roles it has today.
๐ฏ EBITDA frequently gets adjusted to suit users individual needs and help mitigate their risks.
๐ฏ EBITDA needs replacing with a better profitability/cash flow measure that:
โ๏ธ includes working capital investment
โ๏ธ includes long term capital investment
โ๏ธ includes payment obligations on debt
โ๏ธ includes tax payment obligations
Here are 5 alternatives to EBITDA you can consider, depending on your business objectives:
Adjusted EBITDA
= Net Income + Interest + Taxes + Depreciation + Amortization + Adjustments
โซPossible Adjustments List:
>> non-recurring expenses (management/M&A)
>> normalized depreciation/amortization (management, M&A)
>> rental expenses (banks)
>> proforma โwhat-ifโ expenses or cost savings (M&A)
>> CAPEX, cash taxes and distributions (banks)
โ Pros: easily calculated
โCons: most adjustments won't include debt payments, CAPEX or working capital investments
๐ฏHow to use (depending on choice of adjustments):
>> Valuation: estimate future company cash flows to determine potential enterprise value based on multiples
>> Debt Servicing: estimate annual debt servicing capacity (principal + interest)
2. ๐ข๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐๐น๐ผ๐(๐ข๐๐)
= Net Income + Depreciation/Amortization + Other Non Cash Items +/ Changes in Working Capital
โ Pros: includes tax payment obligations and working capital investment
โCons: doesnโt include long term capital investment or payments on debt obligations
๐ฏHow to use:
>> Financial Health: calculate the amount of cash generated by core operations to pay for fixed asset maintenance/investments, debt servicing costs, and shareholder distributions
3. ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐๐น๐ผ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐บ (๐๐๐๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐จ๐ป๐น๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐๐น๐ผ๐)
= Operating Cash Flow + Interest x (1- Tax Rate) +/- Changes in Fixed Assets
โ Pros: includes tax payment obligations, working capital investment, and long term capital investment
โCons: doesnโt include debt payment obligations
๐ฏHow to use:
>> Valuation: estimate the value of the company (debt + equity) as the present value of future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) discounted at the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
4. ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐๐น๐ผ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐๐พ๐๐ถ๐๐ ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ (๐๐๐๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐๐น๐ผ๐)
= Operating Cash Flow +/- Changes in Fixed Assets +/- Changes in Net Debt
โ Pros: includes working capital investment, tax payment obligations, long term capital investment, and payment of debt obligations
โCons: could be complex to calculate and information may not be readily available
๐ฏHow to use:
>> Valuation: estimate the value of the company equity as the present value of future Cash Flows to Equity (FCFE) discounted at the required rate of return on equity
>> Business decision making:
- how much capital to distribute to shareholders?
- how much capital to retain in the business to support growing working capital needs from growing sales?
- how much debt can the business actually service?
- how much capital can be used to invest in M&A activity
5. Economic Value Added
= EBIT - Taxes - WACC x (Fixed Assets + Net Working Capital)
โ Pros: includes tax payment obligations as well as a cost of capital charge for working capital investment, long term capital investment, and outstanding debt.
โCons: could be complex to calculate.
๐ฏHow to use:
>> Valuation: estimate the value of the company by adding the current capital invested in the companyโs assets to the present value of current and future EVA.
>> Performance management: set performance targets based on EVA
5 EBITDA Alternatives - Oana Labes, MBA, CPA
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