The Finance Gem 2023๐Ÿ’Ž Week #7

EBITDA and Financial Analysis

Welcome to this week's edition of The Finance Gem ๐Ÿ’Ž where I bring you my unabbreviated Linkedin insights you loved - so you can save them, and those you missed - so you can enjoy them.

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This week's strategic finance & accounting topics:

Without further ado, let's begin:

When you analyze an Income Statement, your key objectives should be to determine if the company is earning a profit, to identify trends over time, and to compare with industry benchmarks or competitors.

For a quick trend analysis, here are 5 steps I recommend you take:

1๏ธโƒฃ Analyze Revenue changes over time

(Sales) Revenue is the money earned by the business during a reporting period.

๐ŸŽฏ The more the Revenue changes throughout the year, the more frequently it should be monitored (weekly, monthly, quarterly and annual)

๐ŸŽฏ Use horizontal analysis to analyze Revenue trending over time.

Year over year change =( Current period/Previous period) - 1

๐ŸŽฏ Remember that Revenue is an accounting metric, so it's useful to review it together with Bookings and Backlog, non-GAAP metrics showing the volume of closed sales awaiting fulfilment (future revenues).

2๏ธโƒฃ Analyze Other Income changes

Other Income is not Sales Revenue but rather Income derived from activities unrelated to the main focus of the business.

๐ŸŽฏ Use horizontal analysis to analyze Other Income trending over time.

3๏ธโƒฃ Analyze Gross Profit Margin changes

This is the residual proportion of Revenue left in the business after direct costs (COGS or COS) have been deducted.

๐ŸŽฏ Gross Profit is the dollar value of the difference.

Revenue - COGS = Gross Profit ($)

๐ŸŽฏ Gross (Profit) Margin is the relative difference.

(Revenue - COGS) / Revenue = Gross Profit Margin (%)

๐ŸŽฏ Use horizontal analysis to analyze Gross Margin trending over time.

4๏ธโƒฃ Analyze Net Profit Margin changes

๐ŸŽฏ This is the residual proportion of Revenues left in the business after direct costs (COGS or COS) as well as Operating Expenses (OPEX) have been deducted.

๐ŸŽฏ Net Profit is the dollar value of the difference.

Revenue - COGS -OPEX = Net Profit ($)

๐ŸŽฏ Net (Profit) Margin is the relative difference.

(Revenue - COGS - OPEX) / Revenue = Net Profit Margin (%)

๐ŸŽฏ Use horizontal analysis to analyze Net Margin trending over time.

5๏ธโƒฃ Analyze Depreciation expense changes

๐ŸŽฏ This is the regular allocation of the capitalized cost of fixed assets (depreciation) into expenses over their useful lives.

๐ŸŽฏ Capital intensive businesses need to constantly maintain, upgrade and grow their asset base

๐ŸŽฏ At a minimum, the amount of maintenance capital investment should mirror depreciation expense.

๐ŸŽฏ Use horizontal analysis to analyze Depreciation expense trending over time.

1// Provisions and Reserves

๐ŸŽฏ Guarantees. Future tax obligations. Asset Retirement Obligations. Asset impairment.

๐ŸŽฏ These are potential future cash payment obligations, but while they shouldnโ€™t reduce your current EBITDA, the future changes in their associated balance sheet accounts might.

2// Non-operating income

๐ŸŽฏ This is usually passive income which isnโ€™t related to your companyโ€™s core operations.

๐ŸŽฏ If your company isnโ€™t actively in the business of generating that income, it shouldnโ€™t be part of your EBITDA.

3// Unrealized gains or losses

๐ŸŽฏ These are increases or decreases in the value of an asset or a liability that you havenโ€™t yet sold or settled.

๐ŸŽฏ Paper gains and losses donโ€™t belong in EBITDA.

4// One-time revenue or expenses

๐ŸŽฏ These are the result of non-recurring transactions.

๐ŸŽฏ If they arenโ€™t repeatable and the objective is to assess the economic value of recurring cash flows, they may not belong in EBITDA.

5// Foreign exchange gains or losses

๐ŸŽฏ These may be the result of foreign exchange transactions outside your companyโ€™s core operations.

๐ŸŽฏ Alternatively, if your business is carried out in international markets, FX gains and losses definitely belong in your companyโ€™s EBITDA.

6// Goodwill impairment

๐ŸŽฏ This is a decrease in the value of your reported goodwill following an acquisition.

๐ŸŽฏ While this indicates concerns regarding the original price paid in the acquisition, it is still a โ€œpaper lossโ€ that doesnโ€™t belong in EBITDA.

7// Asset write-downs

๐ŸŽฏ These are decreases in the value of an asset, usually following non-recurring events like sharp technological advancements that rendered your machine obsolete ahead of its time.

๐ŸŽฏ Because theyโ€™re non-cash, they donโ€™t belong in EBITDA.

8// Litigation or insurance expenses outside the regular course of business.

๐ŸŽฏ These are the result of non-recurring transactions such as one-time lawsuits, large financing deals or outlier commercial contracts.

๐ŸŽฏ If they arenโ€™t repeatable, they probably donโ€™t belong in EBITDA.

9// Excessive Owner compensation

๐ŸŽฏ In private companies, owners often pay themselves more than a comparable executive role would pay an employee.

๐ŸŽฏ A buyer will usually adjust the ownerโ€™s salary to level up to the market and will impact EBITDA in the process.

10// Share-based compensation

๐ŸŽฏ In the words of Warren Buffet, โ€œIf options arenโ€™t a form of compensation, what are they? If compensation isnโ€™t an expense, what is it? And if expenses should not go into the calculation of earnings, where in the world should they go?โ€

11// Below Market Compensation

๐ŸŽฏ This is general labor compensation above or below the fair market value of what a similar company would expect to pay to manage that type of human capital.

๐ŸŽฏ If thereโ€™s a material difference driven by non-arms length arrangements, you should adjust it to align with the market.

12// Personal Expenses

๐ŸŽฏ These are automobile expenses, insurance, legal and professional fees, home utilities, personal telephone, and payroll - all paid for the benefit of your non-arms length third parties

13// Travel and Entertainment Expenses

๐ŸŽฏ This includes your travel and entertainment expenses personal to the business owner and non-arms length third parties, and deemed unnecessary for a new owner to operate the business.

14// Pension Expenses

๐ŸŽฏ This includes your pension expense and other ancillary costs paid for the personal benefit of the business owner and other non-arms length third parties.

15// Professional Fees

๐ŸŽฏ This includes your professional legal, accounting and other advisory fees that another owner wouldnโ€™t be expected to incur.

16// Aggressively expensed/capitalized items

๐ŸŽฏ This includes aggressive accounting decisions driven by your current management decisions, even if they are in compliance with applicable accounting principles.

17// Fair Market Rent

๐ŸŽฏ This includes below or above market rental costs due to your non-arms length agreements, which should be adjusted to reflect a fair market cost.

18// Tax Minimization Strategies

๐ŸŽฏ This includes accelerating expenses and/or deferring income as a result of you implementing basic year-end tax-planning techniques used to manage income taxes.

19// Severance Costs

๐ŸŽฏ This includes costs incurred as part of your one-time reorganization where staff was laid off.

20// Percentage Of Completion Revenues

๐ŸŽฏ This includes the revenues you recognized on long-term contractual engagements based on the percentage of costs incurred relative to the total estimated contractual costs.

๐ŸŽฏ Your high interim EBITDA on Percentage of Completion contracts is always at risk of reversing into losses resulting from underestimated project costs.

20 EBITDA Adjustments to Know - Oana Labes, MBA, CPA

โ–ถ๏ธMargin shows how much of a product's sales revenue you got to keep.

โ–ถ๏ธMarkup shows how much over cost you've sold it for.

๐ŸŽฏ Let's dig deeper into each of these:

1// Margin is the proportion of the selling price that exceeds Direct Cost (COGS).

โœ… Margin = Gross Profit / Revenue

โœ… Margin = Markup /(1+Markup)

Margin (or Gross Profit Margin) is calculated as a percentage. Meanwhile, Gross Profit is calculated as an amount.

2// Markup is the percentage by which the product cost is increased to arrive at the selling price.

โœ… Markup = Gross Profit / Product Cost

โœ… Markup = Margin / (1-Margin)

Markup can be calculated based on a product's variable cost or based on its total (absorption) cost.

Marking up the variable cost could result in under costing and underpricing the product, which in turn may increase revenues at the expense of reduced profitability and cash flows.

Marking up the absorption cost could result in over costing and overpricing, which in turn could reduce revenues also at the expense of reduced profitability and cash flows.

๐ŸŽฏ How to use Margin and Markup:

โœ… Both Margin and Markup calculate the difference between price and cost.

โœ… Margin relates that difference to the product Price.

โœ… Markup relates that difference to the product Cost.

โœ… If you know the Product Cost, use Markup to determine an appropriate selling Price.

โœ… If you know the Product Gross Profit, use it to determine the Gross Profit Margin and track profitability over time.

โœ… And because Price is (ideally) always larger than Cost, remember that Markup will always be the larger metric.

Margin vs. Markup - Oana Labes, MBA, CPA

Here are 10 Critical Things You Should Know:

1๏ธโƒฃ ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ž ๐š๐ซ๐ž 2 ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ก๐ž๐š๐.

โšซ Non-Manufacturing Overhead

โšซ Manufacturing Overhead

2๏ธโƒฃ ๐๐จ๐ง-๐Œ๐š๐ง๐ฎ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐Ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ก๐ž๐š๐ (๐Ž๐‡) includes the indirect costs of running your business (rent, utilities, insurance, depreciation, administrative salaries, accounting and legal fees, office supplies, marketing, etc)

3๏ธโƒฃ ๐Œ๐š๐ง๐ฎ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐Ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ก๐ž๐š๐ (๐Œ๐Ž๐‡) includes the indirect costs of manufacturing your physical products (factory rent, factory utilities, factory depreciation, factory machinery maintenance, factory supplies)

4๏ธโƒฃ Each type of Overhead can be further segmented by the nature of the expenses incurred into Fixed Overhead and Variable Overhead.

Which is how you end up with 4 ๐ญ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ก๐ž๐š๐:

โšซ Fixed Manufacturing Overhead

โšซ Variable Manufacturing Overhead

โšซ Fixed Non-Manufacturing Overhead

โšซ Variable Non-Manufacturing Overhead

5๏ธโƒฃ Manufacturing Overhead, both fixed and variable, is part of your Product Costs, together with Direct Labor and Direct Materials.

6๏ธโƒฃ Non-Manufacturing Overhead, both fixed and variable, is part of your Period Costs, together with your R&D expenses.

7๏ธโƒฃ The largest Fixed Manufacturing Overhead expense is typically Manufacturing Depreciation (and Amortization)

8๏ธโƒฃ The largest Fixed Non-Manufacturing Overhead expense is typically Payroll.

9๏ธโƒฃ As Manufacturing Overhead gets incurred, it is accrued as a product cost and built into the cost of your ending inventory during production.

๐ŸŽฏ Because it skips the income statement and lives on your balance sheet until that inventory is sold, it positively impacts your Income and your EBITDA.

๐ŸŽฏ Even once the product is sold and MOH becomes part of your Cost of Goods Sold, the depreciation component of Fixed MOH continues to positively impact EBITDA because it gets excluded from the calculation.

๐Ÿ”Ÿ As Non-Manufacturing Overhead gets incurred, it is simply expensed as a period cost.

๐ŸŽฏ Because it is reported immediately in your income statement, it reduces your Income and negatively impacts your EBITDA.

So here you have it: Overhead and its direct impact on your EBITDA and Net Income.

๐ŸŽฏ Manufacturing Overhead accrued in ending inventory balances increases your EBITDA and Net Income

๐ŸŽฏ Non-Manufacturing Overhead is expensed immediately and reduces your EBITDA and Net Income

Maintenance vs. Growth CAPEX

You should have 2 main objectives for your Capital Assets:

๐ŸŽฏMaintain the assets you own - to continue operating at the current capacity

๐ŸŽฏAcquire new assets - to expand your capacity and support your revenue growth

**1๏ธโƒฃ Maintenance capital expenditures (CAPEX) keep your company's existing operations running well.**

โšซ Think of repairing an asset that broke down, replacing an asset that reached the end of its useful life, or upgrading an asset to meet the minimum required safety standards.

โšซ This is capital spend you make to maintain the company's current level of production

โšซ Itโ€™s considered non-discretionary, meaning itโ€™s unavoidable to enable you to continue operating in the current manner

โšซ It gets expensed when incurred, so it reduces profitability for the period but will have no impact on cash flow or EBITDA.

โšซ It should match or exceed your depreciation expense.

โŒ If it doesnโ€™t, you are likely underinvesting in the maintenance of your long term assets.

โŒ This will likely reduce your ability to generate sufficient cash flow in the future, reducing both earnings and returns for the business.

2๏ธโƒฃ **Growth CAPEX is over and above maintaining your company's current level of production, to enable future growth and revenue**

โšซ Think of expanding an assetโ€™s production capacity, improving an assetโ€™s energy consumption; building a new production facility, or acquiring a new ERP software

โšซ This is the capital spend you make to expand the company's operations and includes items such as new equipment, facilities, and acquisitions.

โšซ Itโ€™s considered discretionary which means you donโ€™t have to pay for these expenses but instead youโ€™re choosing to

โšซ It gets capitalized as a betterment of existing assets or as an entirely new asset, either of which will increase the balance of capital assets.

โšซ It will increase your depreciation expense, lowering your profitability for the period but without impacting EBITDA

๐ŸŽฏHere are two critical questions to answer:

1๏ธโƒฃ How to determine Maintenance vs Growth CAPEX?

Use the Cash Flow Statement:

โšซ Find the Depreciation Expense at the top of the Operating Cash Flow section

โšซ Find the total amount spent on purchases of PPE in the Investing Cash Flow section

โšซ Compare the two amounts: any excess of investment in CAPEX over depreciation expense can usually be assumed to be growth CAPEX.

2๏ธโƒฃ How to use Maintenance and Growth CAPEX to calculate Cash Flows?

It depends on your objectives:

โšซ If you are calculating **historical Free Cash Flow,** use the total cash invested in Fixed Asset purchases from the Investing section of your cash flow statement.

โšซ If you are estimating forward looking **maintainable Free Cash Flow**, use maintenance CAPEX net of its tax benefits (tax shield)

โšซ If you are preparing **budgeted or forecasted Cash Flow**, use maintenance CAPEX + growth CAPEX to project the Fixed Asset purchases required to both sustain the current output and increase it to achieve revenue growth targets

Growth vs. Maintenance CAPEX - Oana Labes, MBA, CPA

If you want to understand how, start with your Income Statement or P&L.

1๏ธโƒฃ ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐๐ซ๐จ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ญ ๐š๐Ÿ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐“๐š๐ฑ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ง๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐„๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐š๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐’๐ก๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

Unless you've distributed it all out to the shareholders, in which case there's nothing left to flow.

2๏ธโƒฃ ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐๐ซ๐จ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ญ ๐š๐Ÿ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐“๐š๐ฑ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ง๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐ฅ๐ฌ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐š๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐’๐ก๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

But only after it gets adjusted for:

โšซ non-cash expenses in the Income Statement (such as depreciation for fixed assets, amortization for intangible assets, gains or losses on sales of fixed assets, or stock based compensation)

โšซ cash invested into current assets and current liabilities on the Balance Sheet

โšซ cash invested into fixed assets on the Balance Sheet

cash received or paid out in financing transactions (equity or debt) on the Balance Sheet

3๏ธโƒฃ ๐–๐ก๐ž๐ง ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ก Flow ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐ž๐ญ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ญ ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐๐ข๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ข๐ง ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐จ๐, ๐ข๐ญ'๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ค๐ž๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐›๐ž๐œ๐š๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐จ๐ง๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฌ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ:

โšซ you've paid out cash to shareholders or lent cash out to others, often related companies

โšซ you haven't yet collected everything you're owed by customers

โšซ you've used cash to pay suppliers

โšซ you've spent cash to buy fixed assets

โšซ you've made principal payments on debt

5 EBITDA Ratios to Know - Oana Labes, MBA, CPA

Are you trying to evaluate a companyโ€™s financial performance?

Donโ€™t use EBITDA.

Hereโ€™s why:

๐ŸŽฏ EBITDA is flawed and unfit for most of the roles it has today.

๐ŸŽฏ EBITDA frequently gets adjusted to suit users individual needs and help mitigate their risks.

๐ŸŽฏ EBITDA needs replacing with a better profitability/cash flow measure that:

โ˜‘๏ธ includes working capital investment

โ˜‘๏ธ includes long term capital investment

โ˜‘๏ธ includes payment obligations on debt

โ˜‘๏ธ includes tax payment obligations

Here are 5 alternatives to EBITDA you can consider, depending on your business objectives:

  1. Adjusted EBITDA

= Net Income + Interest + Taxes + Depreciation + Amortization + Adjustments

โšซPossible Adjustments List:

>> non-recurring expenses (management/M&A)

>> normalized depreciation/amortization (management, M&A)

>> rental expenses (banks)

>> proforma โ€œwhat-ifโ€ expenses or cost savings (M&A)

>> CAPEX, cash taxes and distributions (banks)

โœ…Pros: easily calculated

โŒCons: most adjustments won't include debt payments, CAPEX or working capital investments

๐ŸŽฏHow to use (depending on choice of adjustments):

>> Valuation: estimate future company cash flows to determine potential enterprise value based on multiples

>> Debt Servicing: estimate annual debt servicing capacity (principal + interest)

2. ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—™๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„(๐—ข๐—–๐—™)

= Net Income + Depreciation/Amortization + Other Non Cash Items +/ Changes in Working Capital

โœ…Pros: includes tax payment obligations and working capital investment

โŒCons: doesnโ€™t include long term capital investment or payments on debt obligations

๐ŸŽฏHow to use:

>> Financial Health: calculate the amount of cash generated by core operations to pay for fixed asset maintenance/investments, debt servicing costs, and shareholder distributions

3. ๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—™๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—บ (๐—™๐—–๐—™๐—™ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—จ๐—ป๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—™๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„)

= Operating Cash Flow + Interest x (1- Tax Rate) +/- Changes in Fixed Assets

โœ…Pros: includes tax payment obligations, working capital investment, and long term capital investment

โŒCons: doesnโ€™t include debt payment obligations

๐ŸŽฏHow to use:

>> Valuation: estimate the value of the company (debt + equity) as the present value of future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) discounted at the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)

4. ๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—™๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—˜๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—›๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ (๐—™๐—–๐—™๐—˜ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—™๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„)

= Operating Cash Flow +/- Changes in Fixed Assets +/- Changes in Net Debt

โœ…Pros: includes working capital investment, tax payment obligations, long term capital investment, and payment of debt obligations

โŒCons: could be complex to calculate and information may not be readily available

๐ŸŽฏHow to use:

>> Valuation: estimate the value of the company equity as the present value of future Cash Flows to Equity (FCFE) discounted at the required rate of return on equity

>> Business decision making:

- how much capital to distribute to shareholders?

- how much capital to retain in the business to support growing working capital needs from growing sales?

- how much debt can the business actually service?

- how much capital can be used to invest in M&A activity

5. Economic Value Added

= EBIT - Taxes - WACC x (Fixed Assets + Net Working Capital)

โœ…Pros: includes tax payment obligations as well as a cost of capital charge for working capital investment, long term capital investment, and outstanding debt.

โŒCons: could be complex to calculate.

๐ŸŽฏHow to use:

>> Valuation: estimate the value of the company by adding the current capital invested in the companyโ€™s assets to the present value of current and future EVA.

>> Performance management: set performance targets based on EVA

5 EBITDA Alternatives - Oana Labes, MBA, CPA

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