The Finance Gem šŸ’Ž #86 - The Issue with EBITDA

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Welcome to Issue #86 of The Finance Gem

Todayā€™s Finance Gems:

  1. The Metric Everyone Loves - Until It Blows Up the Business

  2. EBITDA Doesnā€™t Pay the Bills - Cash Flow Does

  3. Why EBITDA is Overrated

1. The Metric Everyone Loves - Until It Blows Up the Business

Itā€™s one of the most popular metrics in finance. Itā€™s simple. Itā€™s catchy. And itā€™s everywhere.

But hereā€™s the problem: EBITDA is one of the most misunderstood and misused metrics in business.

Itā€™s praised for its simplicity and abused for its weaknesses. And the results are costly mistakes:

  • Overstated valuations

  • Misguided decisions

  • Deceived investors

Here are 10 ways EBITDA gets it wrongā€”and what to use instead.

1ļøāƒ£ Comparative Analysis
āœ• EBITDA ā†’ āœ” Free Cash Flow (FCF)
FCF factors in capital expenditures and working capital, giving a true picture of operating performance.

2ļøāƒ£ Valuation
āœ• EBITDA ā†’ āœ” Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
DCF considers future cash flows, growth, and capital needsā€”EBITDA doesnā€™t.

3ļøāƒ£ M&A Decisions
āœ• EBITDA ā†’ āœ” Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
A realistic valuation needs synergies, integration costs, and future risksā€”not just earnings multiples.

4ļøāƒ£ Loan Approvals
āœ• EBITDA ā†’ āœ” Cash Debt Service Coverage Ratio (CDSCR)
Lenders care about actual cash available for debt payments, not earnings before expenses.

5ļøāƒ£ Performance Measurement
āœ• EBITDA ā†’ āœ” Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
ROCE measures profitability and capital efficiencyā€”EBITDA doesnā€™t consider capital structure.

6ļøāƒ£ Investor Communications
āœ• EBITDA ā†’ āœ” Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA reflects real economic profit by subtracting capital costs from NOPAT.

7ļøāƒ£ Budgeting & Forecasting
āœ• EBITDA ā†’ āœ” Free Cash Flow after Principal Repayments
Projects net cash after all financial obligationsā€”EBITDA ignores debt payments.

8ļøāƒ£ Restructuring Decisions
āœ• EBITDA ā†’ āœ” Segmented Contribution Margin
Pinpoints direct profitability by business segment for smarter restructuring.

9ļøāƒ£ Sector-Specific Analysis
āœ• EBITDA ā†’ āœ” Operating Margin
Measures operational profitability with real costsā€”EBITDA ignores expenses.

šŸ”Ÿ Incentive Compensation Planning
āœ• EBITDA ā†’ āœ” Economic Value Added (EVA)
Aligns management incentives with long-term value creation, not short-term earnings games.

EBITDA isnā€™t useless. But relying on it alone? A mistake. Use better metricsā€”and make better decisions.

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2. EBITDA Doesnā€™t Pay the Bills - Cash Flow Does

EBITDA might look good on paper, but it wonā€™t keep the lights on.

Cash flow will. And guess where cash flow comes from?

Operations.

There are three key drivers of cash flow every business leader needs to master:

  • Revenue Growth

  • Operating Profits

  • Working Capital Efficiency

Letā€™s break it down:

1. Revenue Growth

Cash flow starts with revenueā€”but not just any revenue. Smart growth matters.

What fuels revenue growth?

  • Sales Volume: Sell more units, but strategically.

  • Pricing Strategy: Optimize pricing to maximize margins.

Revenue fuels your cash flow engine, but growth alone wonā€™t cut it.

2. Operating Profits

Revenue is meaningless if it doesnā€™t translate into profit.

What strengthens operating profit?

  • Lower COGS: Renegotiate with suppliers or automate processes.

  • Reduced SG&A: Cut waste in marketing, payroll, and overhead.

Strong margins = strong cash flow.

3. Working Capital Efficiency

This is where businesses win or lose.

Why it matters: because efficient working capital ensures cash isnā€™t unnecessarily locked up.

What drives it?

  • Inventory Turnover: Stock what sells best (lower DIO).

  • Receivables: Collect payments faster (improve DSO).

  • Payables: Optimize supplier payments (extend DPO).

Together these make up the Cash Conversion Cycle. Learn more in my Cash Flow Masterclass or save for a limited time with The Masterclass Bundle. 

Remember:

EBITDA might make your financials look impressive. But it wonā€™t pay bills, fund growth, or reduce debt. So if you want a sustainable business, focus on what really matters: Cash flow from operations.

For a limited time, The Masterclass Bundle is back and it includes my popular EBITDA Training Webinar. Save 50% off my 2 highly appreciated Masterclasses, cheatsheets and checklists.

3. Why EBITDA is Overrated

EBITDA: The Most Misunderstood Metric in Business

EBITDA looks great on paper. But hereā€™s the problemā€”itā€™s not cash flow. And that difference can sink a business.

āœ“ It Ignores Cash Flow

EBITDA strips out debt repayments, taxes, and capital expenditures. Sounds greatā€”until you realize those are real cash outflows. Profit isnā€™t liquidity. Cash is.

āœ“ It Hides Operational Weaknesses

Depreciation and amortization exist for a reason. Ignoring them makes aging assets and high fixed costs disappearā€”on paper. In reality? Theyā€™re draining cash.

āœ“ It Inflates Valuations

Many investors use EBITDA multiples. Many companies game the system. Relying on it alone? A fast track to overpaying for an underperforming business.

What To Do Instead

āœ“ Track Free Cash Flowā€”it tells you how much cash the business actually generates.
āœ“ Look at Net Income in Contextā€”profitability means nothing without liquidity.
āœ“ Use EBITDA + Cash-Based Metricsā€”because reality lives in the details.

EBITDA isnā€™t useless. But itā€™s not the truth. Know the difference, and youā€™ll make better decisions.

Learn more with The Masterclass Bundle - for a limited time save 50% off my two popular courses, save even more with my cheatsheets and checklists + get my EBITDA training webinar as a BONUS.

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ā

"Your masterclasses are excellent, I used them for my Global Executive MBA"

Bernhard Schaller, Chairman of the Board, Sanador AG

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Thanks so much for reading.

Oana

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